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Chinese AI Breakthrough DeepSeek Causes US Stocks to Plunge

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Washington: US stocks are facing a significant selloff following a surprising advancement from a Chinese artificial intelligence company, DeepSeek. This development is challenging the perception of American dominance in the tech industry. DeepSeek, a startup just one year old, has unveiled its impressive AI model, R1, which operates similarly to ChatGPT but at a fraction of the cost of its American counterparts.

DeepSeek’s Cost-Effective AI Model

DeepSeek announced that it trained its R1 AI model for only $5.6 million, a stark contrast to the hundreds of millions or even billions spent by leading US tech companies like OpenAI, Google, and Meta. This cost-effective approach has sent shockwaves through the tech sector, with analysts questioning the sustainability of the investment strategies employed by American firms.

Meta, for example, recently disclosed plans to invest over $65 billion in AI development this year alone. In contrast, Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, emphasized the need for trillions of dollars in investment to support the necessary infrastructure, including advanced chips to power data centers.

Market Reaction and Stock Declines

The impact of DeepSeek’s announcement was immediate. Major US tech stocks experienced significant declines on Monday morning. Nvidia (NVDA), a leading AI chip supplier, saw its shares plummet by 12% in premarket trading. Other tech giants, including Meta (META), Alphabet (GOOGL), Marvell, Broadcom, Palantir, and Oracle, also faced sharp declines.

The broader stock market was dragged down as tech stocks make up approximately 45% of the S&P 500. Analysts indicated that S&P 500 futures poised to fall 2.4% at market open, while the Nasdaq set for a 4.2% drop—the steepest decline since September 2022. The Dow projected to open about 400 points lower, representing a 0.9% decline.

Implications for US Tech Leadership

The emergence of DeepSeek has raised concerns about the future of US tech dominance, particularly in AI. Marc Andreessen, a prominent tech investor and Trump supporter, hailed DeepSeek’s breakthrough as “one of the most amazing and impressive breakthroughs I’ve ever seen.” This sentiment reflects a growing unease among investors regarding the competitive landscape of AI.

Keith Lerner, an analyst at Truist, noted that the recent developments are causing investors to reevaluate the competitive edge of US companies in AI. “The bottom line is the US outperformance has been driven by tech and the lead that US companies have in AI,” Lerner said. “The DeepSeek model rollout is leading investors to question the lead that US companies have and how much is being spent and whether that spending will lead to profits.”

Looking Ahead

As tech companies prepare to report their earnings in the coming days, the reaction to DeepSeek’s groundbreaking achievement could lead to further market volatility. While DeepSeek’s success is impressive, it may not be enough to derail the years of progress made by American tech firms.

Despite the initial panic, experts suggest that a significant shift towards a Chinese startup is unlikely. Michael Block, a market strategist at Third Seven Capital, emphasized that it is still too early to determine the true impact of DeepSeek’s advancements. He stated, “Time will tell if the DeepSeek threat is real—the race is on as to what technology works and how the big Western players will respond and evolve.”

In conclusion, while the stock market’s response to DeepSeek’s breakthrough may appear dramatic, it reflects broader concerns about the future of US tech leadership in the rapidly evolving AI landscape. As the situation unfolds, investors and industry leaders alike will be closely watching how the American tech sector adapts to this new challenge.

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